Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2030?

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2030? It is currently trading at a 12% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2030.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 2:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
12%	0.12	Kalshi	Open	January 01, 2030

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

Related Prediction Markets

• Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2028?
• Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2032?
• Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2034?
• Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
• Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Popular Prediction Markets

• Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
• Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?