Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2032?

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2032? It is currently trading at a 33% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2030.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 3:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
33% 0.33 Kalshi Open January 01, 2030 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
33% 20% 33%

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