Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2034?

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2034? It is currently trading at a 32% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2030.

Last updated September 8, 2026 at 12:59 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
32%	0.32	Kalshi	Open	January 01, 2030

Market Information

Category	Event	Source
Other Prediction Markets	Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?	View on Kalshi

Historical Market Probability

Current
32%

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