Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? It is currently trading at a 37% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $2.9M. Scheduled resolution: November 3, 2026.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 11:17 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
37%	0.37	$2.9M	$3.4M	Polymarket	Open	November 04, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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