Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? It is currently trading at a 6% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $86.7K. Scheduled resolution: November 3, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 12:10 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
6%	0.06	$86.7K	$9.6K	Polymarket	Open	November 03, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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