Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? It is currently trading at a 8% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $68.5K. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated September 14, 2026 at 1:23 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
8%	0.09	$68.5K	$2.2K	Polymarket	Open	January 01, 2027

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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