Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? It is currently trading at a 52% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $188.7K. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated September 14, 2026 at 1:23 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
52%	0.52	$188.7K	$1.8K	Polymarket	Open	January 01, 2027

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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