Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? It is currently trading at a 75% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $712.2K. Scheduled resolution: March 1, 2027.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 6:21 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
75%	0.75	$712.2K	$7.7K	Polymarket	Open	March 02, 2027

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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