Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? It is currently trading at a 76% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $584.7K. Scheduled resolution: December 30, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 2:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
76% 0.76 $584.7K $14.5K Polymarket Open December 31, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
69% 52% 30% 76%

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