Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? It is currently trading at a 26% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $469.8K. Scheduled resolution: March 1, 2027.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 4:35 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
26% 0.26 $469.8K $10.8K Polymarket Open March 02, 2027 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
40% 23% 62% 26%

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