Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? It is currently trading at a 20% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $404.4K. Scheduled resolution: December 30, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 2:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
20% 0.20 $404.4K $5.4K Polymarket Open December 31, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
24% 44% 62% 20%

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