Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? It is currently trading at a 2% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $503.3K. Scheduled resolution: December 30, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 1:40 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
2% 0.02 $503.3K $36.4K Polymarket Open December 31, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
2% 2% 2% 2%

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