Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? It is currently trading at a 1% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $537.8K. Scheduled resolution: December 30, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 12:55 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
1% 0.01 $537.8K $17.2K Polymarket Open December 31, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
1% 1% 2% 1%

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