Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? It is currently trading at a 2% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $340.0K. Scheduled resolution: December 9, 2026.

Last updated September 28, 2026 at 7:41 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
2%	0.02	$340.0K	$137.4K	Polymarket	Open	December 09, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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