Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? It is currently trading at a 1% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $288.8K. Scheduled resolution: October 28, 2026.

Last updated September 11, 2026 at 3:21 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
1%	0.01	$288.8K	$116.1K	Polymarket	Open	October 28, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

Related Prediction Markets

• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Popular Prediction Markets

• Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
• Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?