Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? It is currently trading at a 2% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $238.9K. Scheduled resolution: December 9, 2026.

Last updated September 28, 2026 at 7:41 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
2%	0.02	$238.9K	$71.0K	Polymarket	Open	December 09, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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