Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? It is currently trading at a 2% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $589.8K. Scheduled resolution: October 28, 2026.

Last updated September 11, 2026 at 3:21 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
2%	0.02	$589.8K	$170.7K	Polymarket	Open	October 28, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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