Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? It is currently trading at a 56% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $15.0M. Scheduled resolution: September 15, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 12:10 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
56%	0.56	$15.0M	$671.5K	Polymarket	Open	September 16, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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