Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? It is currently trading at a 1% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $191.4K. Scheduled resolution: October 28, 2026.

Last updated September 11, 2026 at 3:21 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
1%	0.01	$191.4K	$123.0K	Polymarket	Open	October 28, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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