Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? It is currently trading at a 1% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $11.0M. Scheduled resolution: September 15, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 12:10 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
1%	0.01	$11.0M	$845.2K	Polymarket	Open	September 16, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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